“The polls are wrong!” Typically, this is one of the last exaltations of a losing campaign. As failing campaigns close, candidates, staffers, and all involved will do anything to convince voters that the polls aren’t exposing their weaknesses but instead are hiding their pending victory. This repetitious pattern usually works . . . until it […]
Why Stacey Abrams Lost?
Former Georgia State House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams, unfortunately, lost her second gubernatorial race in 2022, and this was really disappointing. It was disappointing in ’18 as well, but the higher expectations of the ’22 race left a deeper well for Abrams supporters to fall into. After all, the race had a feeling of “getting […]
What’s the Deal with Student Loan Cancellation?
Let me tell you something . . . I’m tired of this debate. The student loan cancellation debate has gone on for years, and in my opinion neither side tackles the issue correctly. Personally, I support total student loan cancellation. Not only would I benefit greatly from the policy, but for the reasons stated below […]
What Is the Point of a Moderate Democrat?
This post could literally go anywhere. Despite attempts to focus, it still might go everywhere. This post will address how to win elections (where no great consensus lives), what motivates certain voting groups (where no great consensus lives again), and how that is changing (guess what! . . . where no great consensus lives). To […]
Why Do Progressives Lose Primaries?
*Special Note: In some ways, this is a sequel or companion piece to the “What is the Point of the Moderate Democrat?” post. I suggest reading it first or making it your next read.* This post is rife with terminology issues. Obviously, all Progressives can’t be losing primaries, or the U.S. Senator pictured above […]
What Did I Learn from My Predictions?: 2020 Election Prediction Review
Quick Note: At the time of writing, I was deciding on whether to do more predictions, and this article concludes on that question. However, I decided against doing more predictions in the 2022 midterm despite good data availability. I decided not to change the original post as an editorial choice to preserve the right tone. […]
Georgia U.S. Senate Runoff Final Prediction (2021)
1/5/21 Quick Note: This is one of the predictions referenced in my “What Did I Learn from My Predictions?” post. It has not been changed, formatted, or further proofread from the document that I sent to my friends & family and pinned on my private Twitter. Summary/TL;DR: Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff are highly […]
2020 Presidential Election Prediction
11/3/20 Quick Note: This is one of the predictions referenced in my “What Did I Learn from My Predictions?” post. It has not been changed, formatted, or further proofread from the document that I sent to my friends & family and pinned on my private Twitter. Summary/TL;DR: Former Vice President Joe Biden […]